December 27, 2020

Hedging

Hedging

  • Somewhat analogous to taking out an insurance policy
    • In the case of insurance, the policy holder would be completely compensated for her loss, perhaps less a deductible. 
      • Unlikely, in the investment space, hedging is both more complex and an imperfect science.
  • Definition
    • An investment that is made with the intention of reducing the risk of adverse price movements in an asset.
  • Hedge by derivatives
    • The best way is to make another investment in a targeted and controlled way. 
      • Popular hedging techniques involve taking offsetting positions in derivatives that correspond to an existing position.
      • The most common way of hedging in the investment world is through derivatives
        • Derivatives are securities that move in correspondence to one or more underlying assets. 
          • They include options, swaps, futures and forward contracts. 
          • The underlying assets can be stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, indices or interest rates.
      • For example, 
        • if Morty buys 100 shares of Stock plc (STOCK) at $10 per share, he might hedge his investment by buying an American put option with a strike price of $8 expiring in one year. 
        • This option gives Morty the right to sell 100 shares of STOCK for $8 any time in the next year. 
        • Let's assume he pays $1 for the option, or $100 in premium. If one year later STOCK is trading at $12, Morty will not exercise the option and will be out $100. 
          • He's unlikely to fret, though, since his unrealized gain is $100 ($100 including the price of the put). 
        • If STOCK is trading at $0, on the other hand, Morty will exercise the option and sell his shares for $8, for a loss of $300 ($300 including the price of the put). 
          • Without the option, he stood to lose his entire investment.
  • Hedge by diversification
    • Other types of hedges can be constructed via other means like diversification
    • Strategically diversifying a portfolio to reduce certain risks can also be considered a hedge, albeit a somewhat crude one. 
      • For example, Rachel might invest in a luxury goods company with rising margins. She might worry, though, that a recession could wipe out the market for conspicuous consumption. 
      • One way to combat that would be to buy tobacco stocks or utilities, which tend to weather recessions well and pay hefty dividends.
  • Delta (Hedge ratio)
    • The effectiveness of a derivative hedge is expressed in terms of delta, sometimes called the "hedge ratio." 
    • Delta is the amount the price of a derivative moves per $1 movement in the price of the underlying asset.
      • e.g., if a stock option has a delta value of 0.65, this means that if the underlying stock increases in price by $1 per share, the option on it will rise by $0.65 per share, all else being equal.
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